The US 2018 campaign (mostly) comes to an end this Tuesday. If the polls and CNN forecasts are right, the Democrats and Republicans will each have something to be happy about.
Democrats are favored to take back the House, while Republicans are favored to maintain control of the Senate.
CNN final House forecast has Democrats earning 227 seats to the Republicans 208. That's a net gain of 32 seats from the 195 they hold right now. Democrats only need a net gain of 23 to win the 218 seats necessary for a majority.
But forecasts come with a margin of error. Specifically, the 95% confidence interval finds that Democrats could win as few as 207 seats (11 short of a majority) to 259, according to our latest estimate.
Make no mistake though, the House race is still close enough that Republicans could win.
The final Senate forecast is something else altogether. It has Republicans controlling 52 seats and Democrats (and Independents who caucus with them) holding 48 seats in the next Congress. If this forecast were exactly right, it would mean that Republicans would have a net gain of a seat since the last Congress.
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